Lets do some maths - take 200,000 customers give 1GB totally unshaped traffic available at peak, adjust to 8Mbps line speed, work out how fast someone can use 1GB, multiply that by number of customers online at once gives you the theoretical bandwidth requirement at that split-second in time.
Doesnt work like that though - like you say no ISP could ever afford to do that and that isnt what people here are asking for.
They are simply asking for their "fair share of the pizza", without someone taking the cheese topping off.
Even Zen despite their -cough- "no contentention on our network" -cough- claims cant guarantee, nor do they do the maths like that.
Ive tried to do the maths before, it took me a long time to work it out despite the fact that I dont have the full figures that you have access to, but I suspect they were pretty damn close.
Ive said before I feel you went wrong with the BB+ account and the early claims. Theres very little profit in this account yet too many users "abused" it trying to get out what they could simply because no strict limits were set.
Therefore can you really blame anyone for at least trying it on?
I do see both sides of the fence in this - I realise that the customers you are targeting with the BB+ product are those self same customers who are looking at the likes of Tiscali and Orange etc and their claims of "Unlimited".
It should be OFCOM who are stamping hard down on this practice in the industry as a whole.
NTL/Telewest have finally come clean 12 months after they implemented Ellacoyas. Does anyone honestly believe that every other ISP isn't also doing this?
PN were the forerunners to experiment with the ellacoyas to squeeze out what they could. Yes I do believe you have some of the best experts.
No they werent the first to implement traffic shaping.
How many other ISPs are doing this? - I honestly dont know.
I understand where youre coming from many ISPs refuse to discuss this with their users.
Tiscali, Homecall etc are being very restrictive with p2p.
Several ISPs dont have ellacoyas yet are likely to be doing "primitive shaping" using Junipers or equivalents.
Eclipse - Ive tried several times to get information from them as to what extent they shape - but they aint saying anything.
Pipex do and have done shaping for a long time - heck I remember feeling worried over 2 years ago at the massive influx of pipex users that came over to PN when you first introduced the first 2Mb product.
I strongly suspect that "one of the largest ISPs" has had a hell of a lot of ellacoyas for quite a while, they just dont know how to work them properly yet, so perhaps havent put their users under so much "pressure".
Something that PN "forgot" is that you still have some "techies" who arent as likely to be fobbed off with some of the pathetic excuses Ive seen given to users of other ISPs such as the likes of the average tiscali/wanadoo users.
One thing I do strongly object to is the words "Unlimited".. and the mention of "Free"
IMHO the contention based explanations (ie the 30:1 stuff) are totally meaningless.
I should imagine that most of the larger ISPs are running at way over 100:1